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Hottur vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Magnusson O.
45' Event
Gunnarsson R.
72' Event
Eidsson E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2018 game between Hottur and Throttur Vogar finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Throttur Vogar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hottur
20%
Draws
23%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Throttur Vogar come out ahead of Hottur on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hottur a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hottur Clean Sheet 20%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hottur Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 9 22
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2018 Division 2
Hottur vs Throttur Vogar
1:3
Jun 9, 2018 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Hottur
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hottur Compare

Top Goalscorer Babic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunnarsson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hottur 49 / 100
Throttur Vogar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hottur Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hottur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur Vogar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 43 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hottur scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Hottur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Throttur Vogar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hottur

(Home)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
Page 1 of 6

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 13 6 3 58:27 45
2 Grotta 22 14 3 5 54:28 45
3 Vestri 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 45:31 40
5 Kari 22 12 2 8 46:44 38
6 Throttur Vogar 22 9 6 7 36:31 33
7 Fjardabyggd 22 8 4 10 27:32 28
8 Tindastoll 22 7 3 12 28:53 24
9 Vidir 22 6 5 11 28:36 23
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 5 7 10 31:36 22
11 Hottur 22 5 6 11 31:49 21
12 Huginn 22 1 3 18 13:55 6
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)