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Hougang vs Tanjong Pagar

Singapore Singapore

Premier League 2025/2026 Jalan Besar Stadium, Singapore
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Wongsai S.
32' Event
Sotirio J.
42'
Estevez E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Hougang and Tanjong Pagar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hougang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hougang
15%
Draws
51%
Tanjong Pagar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanjong Pagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tanjong Pagar haven't matched Hougang's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Hougang taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hougang Clean Sheet 20%
Tanjong Pagar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hougang Tanjong Pagar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 2 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Premier League
Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang
2:1
May 5, 2026 Premier League
Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang
1:2
Feb 23, 2026 Premier League
Hougang vs Tanjong Pagar
3:0
Nov 7, 2025 Singapore Cup
Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang
2:3
May 13, 2025 Premier League
Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hougang Compare

Top Goalscorer Wongsai S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sotirio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tanjong Pagar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hougang 40 / 100
Tanjong Pagar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hougang Tanjong Pagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hougang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanjong Pagar has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hougang scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Tanjong Pagar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hougang VS Tanjong Pagar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hougang

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Jurong
3 : 0
Hougang
12 Sept
Hougang
2 : 2
Lion City Sailors
18 May
Tanjong Pagar
2 : 1
Hougang
10 May
Hougang
0 : 1
Tampines
05 May
Tanjong Pagar
1 : 2
Hougang
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Tanjong Pagar

(Away)
19 Sept
Balestier Khalsa
3 : 4
Tanjong Pagar
14 Sept
Geylang
1 : 0
Tanjong Pagar
18 May
Tanjong Pagar
2 : 1
Hougang
09 May
Balestier Khalsa
6 : 0
Tanjong Pagar
05 May
Tanjong Pagar
1 : 2
Hougang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lion City Sailors 21 16 3 2 70:14 51
2 Tampines 21 15 4 2 58:21 49
3 FC Jurong 21 15 2 4 47:19 47
4 Balestier Khalsa 21 11 2 8 44:46 35
5 Geylang 21 7 3 11 29:42 24
6 Hougang 21 7 0 14 24:41 21
7 Young Lions 21 2 3 16 15:58 9
8 Tanjong Pagar 21 2 1 18 17:63 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)