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Houston Dash W vs Gotham FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
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Match Events

4'
Boattin L.
23' Event
Kerr S.
Penalty Missed
46' Event
Kerr S.
Assist: Reiten G.

AI Match Summary

Gotham FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Houston Dash W
20%
Draws
57%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gotham FC W lately — more wins on the board than Houston Dash W.
  • Gotham FC W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 20%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dash W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Gotham FC W
0:1
May 31, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Houston Dash W
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Houston Dash W
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Gotham FC W
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Houston Dash W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dash W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dash W 28 / 100
Gotham FC W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dash W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotham FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dash W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Gotham FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Houston Dash W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dash W VS Gotham FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dash W

(Home)
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3
Washington Spirit W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
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Gotham FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)