Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W

USA USA

NWSL Women Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Dudinha
Assist: Godfrey L. E.
23'
Patterson A.
24'
Van Zanten A. D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Houston Dash W
44%
Draws
20%
San Diego Wave W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Diego Wave W lately — more wins on the board than Houston Dash W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 10%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dash W San Diego Wave W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W
2:2
Mar 15, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Houston Dash W
0:1
Sep 8, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Houston Dash W
0:3
Jun 14, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W
2:3
Oct 14, 2024 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Houston Dash W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dash W Compare

Top Goalscorer Faasse K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rader K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Diego Wave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Byars T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dash W 34 / 100
San Diego Wave W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dash W San Diego Wave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego Wave W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Houston Dash W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Houston Dash W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dash W VS San Diego Wave W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dash W

(Home)
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
12 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Houston Dash W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1
Houston Dash W
31 May
Gotham FC W
1 : 0
Houston Dash W
24 May
Houston Dash W
2 : 1
Angel City W
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San Diego Wave W

(Away)
18 Jul
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
San Diego Wave W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2
Angel City W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4
San Diego Wave W
04 Jun
San Diego Wave W
1 : 0
Philippines W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)