Sport Picks
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
11'
11'
Rudd T.
Assist: Morgan E.
44'
44'
Ivanovic M.
46'
46'
Sub
Faasse K. In: Schmidt S.
Out: Faasse K.
AI Match Summary
Washington Spirit W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Washington Spirit W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Washington Spirit W have won more games recently than Houston Dash W.
- Win probability leans Washington Spirit W's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Washington Spirit W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 19%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Houston Dash W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W
2:3
Jul 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W
4:0
Mar 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Houston Dash W
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Houston Dash W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivanovic M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rudd T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cantore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Houston Dash W 24 / 100
Washington Spirit W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Houston Dash W Washington Spirit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Washington Spirit W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Houston Dash W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Washington Spirit W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Houston Dash W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Houston Dash W VS Washington Spirit W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Houston Dash W
(Home) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
20 Aug
Houston Dash W
5 : 0 Chicago Stars W
09 Aug
Houston Dash W
1 : 1 Kansas City Current W
02 Aug
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 4
Washington Spirit W
(Away) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
17 Aug
Angel City W
1 : 1 Washington Spirit W
30 Jul
Utah Royals W
0 : 1 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
