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Houston Dutch Lions vs Austin Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin in this USL Premier Development League 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Houston Dutch Lions
15%
Draws
42%
Austin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Houston Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Austin have won more games recently than Houston Dutch Lions.
  • Model gives Houston Dutch Lions a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Austin here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Houston Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 16%
Austin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dutch Lions Austin
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2014 USL League Two
Austin vs Houston Dutch Lions
5:0
Jul 9, 2014 USL League Two
Houston Dutch Lions vs Austin
1:4
Jun 22, 2014 USL League Two
Houston Dutch Lions vs Austin
1:2
May 11, 2014 USL League Two
Austin vs Houston Dutch Lions
5:0
Jun 30, 2013 USL League Two
Austin vs Houston Dutch Lions
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dutch Lions 48 / 100
Austin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dutch Lions Austin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dutch Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dutch Lions scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Austin let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Austin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dutch Lions VS Austin
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dutch Lions

(Home)
18 May
Houston Dutch Lions
1 : 2
San Antonio FC
11 May
Houston Dutch Lions
3 : 1
NTX Rayados
19 Jul
Houston Dutch Lions
2 : 1
Midland Odessa
15 Jul
Laredo Heat
3 : 1
Houston Dutch Lions
12 Jul
Houston Dutch Lions
1 : 4
Mississippi Brilla
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Austin

(Away)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 3
Austin
18 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
3 : 2
Austin
10 Sept
Colorado Springs
3 : 0
Austin
06 Sept
Austin
2 : 1
Tacoma Defiance
30 Aug
Oklahoma City Energy FC
2 : 0
Austin
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