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Houston Dynamo 2 vs Austin FC II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro SaberCats Stadium, Houston, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Gustavo Dohmann
2' Event
Feliciano L.
40' Event
Brummett A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Houston Dynamo 2 and Austin FC II finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austin FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Houston Dynamo 2
15%
Draws
68%
Austin FC II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austin FC II come out ahead of Houston Dynamo 2 on wins alone.
  • Austin FC II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo 2 Austin FC II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 22
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Austin FC II
0:2
Jul 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Austin FC II
2:1
Apr 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Houston Dynamo 2
2:0
May 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Feliciano L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gryczewski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 2 14 / 100
Austin FC II 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo 2 Austin FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin FC II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Austin FC II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Houston Dynamo 2 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo 2 VS Austin FC II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

Austin FC II

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Austin FC II
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Austin FC II
1 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)