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Stadium Background

Houston Dynamo vs DC United

USA USA

MLS Shell Energy Stadium
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Houston Dynamo play DC United in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Houston Dynamo averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. DC United averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Houston Dynamo won 2, DC United won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 15, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Houston Dynamo and 1.69 for DC United. This points to a Houston Dynamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Houston Dynamo
44%
Draws
20%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to DC United.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 13%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo DC United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Houston Dynamo vs DC United
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 MLS
DC United vs Houston Dynamo
1:4
May 7, 2022 MLS
DC United vs Houston Dynamo
2:0
May 9, 2020 MLS
DC United vs Houston Dynamo
0:0
May 19, 2019 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs DC United
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 35 / 100
DC United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo DC United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

DC United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Houston Dynamo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

DC United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS DC United
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307