Sport Picks
Houston Dynamo vs DC United
USA
MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
40'
40'
Herrera H.
53'
53'
Sub
Hopkins J. In: Peltola M.
Out: Hopkins J.
59'
59'
Sub
McGuire D. In: Ponce E.
Out: McGuire D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Houston Dynamo have won more games recently than DC United.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Houston Dynamo taking it.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs DC United
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Houston Dynamo vs DC United
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 MLS
DC United vs Houston Dynamo
1:4
May 7, 2022 MLS
DC United vs Houston Dynamo
2:0
May 9, 2020 MLS
DC United vs Houston Dynamo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Houston Dynamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Herrera H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
DC United Compare
Top Goalscorer Baribo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Houston Dynamo 40 / 100
DC United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Houston Dynamo DC United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Houston Dynamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Houston Dynamo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: DC United conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Houston Dynamo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Houston Dynamo VS DC United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Houston Dynamo
(Home) 20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0 Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
16 Aug
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 Los Angeles Galaxy
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Austin FC
Page 1 of 3
DC United
(Away) 19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0 Los Angeles FC
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 DC United
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 DC United
15 Aug
CF Montreal
1 : 1 DC United
23 Jul
Houston Dynamo
1 : 1 DC United
10 May
Nashville SC
2 : 2 DC United
03 May
New York City
0 : 2 DC United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | 18 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 45 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
