Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Houston Dynamo Logo

Houston Dynamo

2 - 1
FT
Real Salt Lake Logo

Real Salt Lake

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Luna D.
33'
Arias J. J.
46'
Sub
Engel L. In: Quinton P.
Out: Engel L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Houston Dynamo in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Houston Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Houston Dynamo
20%
Draws
30%
Real Salt Lake
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Houston Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo have won more games recently than Real Salt Lake.
  • Win probability leans Houston Dynamo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo Real Salt Lake
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
2:1
May 14, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bogusz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobjanidze S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 76 / 100
Real Salt Lake 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo Real Salt Lake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dynamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Salt Lake conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Houston Dynamo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Houston Dynamo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS Real Salt Lake
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo

(Home)
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

Real Salt Lake

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)