Sport Picks
Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC
USA
MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
14'
14'
Felipe Andrade
35'
35'
Aliyu I.
Assist: Lingr O.
38'
38'
Godoy A.
AI Match Summary
Houston Dynamo in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Houston Dynamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Houston Dynamo lately — more wins on the board than San Diego FC.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Houston Dynamo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 15%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | San Diego FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC
2:4
Jul 6, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Houston Dynamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Aliyu I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
San Diego FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Houston Dynamo 30 / 100
San Diego FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Houston Dynamo San Diego FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Houston Dynamo scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.
San Diego FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Houston Dynamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Houston Dynamo VS San Diego FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Houston Dynamo
(Home) 23 Jul
Houston Dynamo
1 : 1 DC United
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 America De Cali
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Olimpia
24 May
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1 Houston Dynamo
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Houston Dynamo
1 : 1 DC United
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 America De Cali
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Olimpia
17 May
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
03 May
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 4
San Diego FC
(Away) 23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 San Diego FC
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4 Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3 FC Cincinnati
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0 Austin FC
10 May
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 San Diego FC
10 May
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1 San Diego FC
23 Apr
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 San Diego FC
19 Apr
Real Salt Lake
4 : 2 San Diego FC
05 Apr
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 0 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37:16 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 30 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:24 | 26 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | 23 |
| 8 | St. Louis City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | 22 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:28 | 20 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:24 | 19 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:31 | 18 |
| 13 | San Diego FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 30:28 | 17 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:40 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 33:11 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 42:30 | 34 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 40:40 | 23 |
| 6 | New York City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:25 | 22 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:35 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 27:44 | 17 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:32 | 15 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21:31 | 10 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)