Sport Picks
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
58'
58'
Roberts R.
61'
61'
Sub
Negri F. In: Aliyu I.
Out: Negri F.
69'
69'
Sub
Romney D. In: Floriani M.
Out: Romney D.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Houston Dynamo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives San Jose Earthquakes a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
1:0
Aug 30, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:2
May 25, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
3:3
Jul 18, 2024 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Houston Dynamo 24 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Houston Dynamo San Jose Earthquakes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Houston Dynamo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Houston Dynamo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Houston Dynamo VS San Jose Earthquakes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Houston Dynamo
(Home) 27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0 Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
16 Aug
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 3
San Jose Earthquakes
(Away) 27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0 Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
20 Aug
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
01 Aug
FC Cincinnati
4 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
