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Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Houston Dynamo Logo

Houston Dynamo

0 - 2
FT
Sporting Kansas City Logo

Sporting Kansas City

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Reynolds J.
27' Event
Andre Luiz
Assist: Afrifa S.
45' Event
Harris C.
Assist: Andre Luiz
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Kansas City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Houston Dynamo
20%
Draws
44%
Sporting Kansas City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Kansas City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Houston Dynamo come out ahead of Sporting Kansas City on wins alone.
  • Model gives Houston Dynamo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 18%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo Sporting Kansas City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.39 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.04 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City
0:2
Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City
1:3
May 12, 2024 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Luiz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harris C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 36 / 100
Sporting Kansas City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo Sporting Kansas City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Houston Dynamo scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Houston Dynamo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS Sporting Kansas City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo

(Home)
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Kansas City

(Away)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)