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Houtvenne vs Dessel

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Vekemans D.
51' Event
Gilis J.
73' Event
Van Keilegom A.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Houtvenne and Dessel finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houtvenne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Houtvenne
20%
Draws
57%
Dessel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dessel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Houtvenne Clean Sheet 15%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houtvenne Dessel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Houtvenne
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Houtvenne vs Dessel
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houtvenne Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilis J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vekemans D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Keilegom A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smolders H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houtvenne 31 / 100
Dessel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houtvenne Dessel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dessel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dessel let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Houtvenne scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Houtvenne has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Houtvenne VS Dessel
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Houtvenne

(Home)
26 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
4 : 3
Houtvenne
19 Apr
Houtvenne
0 : 1
Hasselt
11 Apr
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Houtvenne
28 Mar
Houtvenne
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
21 Mar
Ninove
1 : 3
Houtvenne
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Dessel

(Away)
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
28 Mar
Dessel
3 : 1
Zelzate
21 Mar
Dessel
4 : 3
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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