Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS vs Lahden Reipas

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Briotech Arena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rekola B.
34' Event
Rekola B.
46'
Sub
Kautonen T. In: Vatanen M.
Out: Kautonen T.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between HPS and Lahden Reipas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
HPS
30%
Draws
23%
Lahden Reipas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HPS come out ahead of Lahden Reipas on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS Lahden Reipas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs Lahden Reipas
3:2
Apr 24, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs HPS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Rekola B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Merilainen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarvinen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS 34 / 100
Lahden Reipas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS Lahden Reipas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahden Reipas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Lahden Reipas let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Lahden Reipas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

HPS VS Lahden Reipas
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS

(Home)
19 Sept
Atlantis
4 : 2
HPS
12 Sept
HPS
1 : 1
PEPO
08 Sept
HPS
1 : 4
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
03 Sept
HIFK
1 : 1
HPS
30 Aug
Kiffen
2 : 1
HPS
Page 1 of 6

Lahden Reipas

(Away)
19 Sept
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
12 Sept
Lahden Reipas
0 : 0
PuiU Helsinki
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
22 Aug
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
16 Aug
Lahden Reipas
1 : 2
PEPO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 18 12 3 3 41:24 39
2 PEPO 18 11 4 3 36:23 37
3 Atlantis 18 10 2 6 62:44 32
4 HIFK 18 7 6 5 39:33 27
5 HPS 18 7 4 7 39:41 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 18 5 8 5 33:31 23
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 35:35 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 18 4 4 10 26:38 16
9 MyPa 18 4 3 11 20:39 15
10 Union Plaani 18 4 2 12 19:42 14
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)