Sport Picks

Finland

Kakkonen Group A Briotech Arena

HPS

3 - 2

Lahden Reipas

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Rekola B.

34'

Rekola B.

46'

Sub

Kautonen T. In: Vatanen M.

Out: Kautonen T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between HPS and Lahden Reipas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

HPS

22%

Draws

18%

Lahden Reipas

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: HPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lahden Reipas come out ahead of HPS on wins alone.
60% — that's where the model lands on HPS taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

HPS Clean Sheet 14%

Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HPS	Lahden Reipas
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	15
Draws	4	3
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	2.38	2
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group A

HPS vs Lahden Reipas

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

3:2

Apr 24, 2026 Kakkonen Group A

Lahden Reipas vs HPS

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Rekola B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Merilainen K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarvinen L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS 57 / 100

Lahden Reipas 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HPS Lahden Reipas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Lahden Reipas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: HPS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS VS Lahden Reipas

2.38 Goals Scored 2

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kiffen	12	8	1	3	29:21	25
2	HIFK	13	7	3	3	27:15	24
3	PEPO	12	6	4	2	20:16	22
4	HPS	12	6	2	4	23:19	20
5	Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)	13	4	7	2	25:19	19
6	Lahden Reipas	12	5	2	5	25:21	17
7	Atlantis	12	5	1	6	34:28	16
8	PuiU Helsinki	12	3	2	7	14:25	11
9	MyPa	12	3	2	7	12:23	11
10	Union Plaani	12	1	2	9	11:33	5