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HPS vs PEPO

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Briotech Arena, Helsinki
HPS Logo

HPS

Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
PEPO Logo

PEPO

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HPS host PEPO in the Kakkonen Group A. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. HPS have averaged 1.93 scored and 2.14 conceded recently, against PEPO's 1.72 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, HPS have won 0 to PEPO's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 2.81) point toward PEPO. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
HPS
30%
Draws
64%
PEPO
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PEPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PEPO lately — more wins on the board than HPS.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on PEPO taking it.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%
PEPO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS PEPO
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
PEPO vs HPS
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs PEPO
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS 10 / 100
PEPO 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS PEPO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: PEPO conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: HPS stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS VS PEPO
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS

(Home)
08 Sept
HPS
1 : 4
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
03 Sept
HIFK
1 : 1
HPS
30 Aug
Kiffen
2 : 1
HPS
22 Aug
Kiffen
5 : 1
HPS
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
Page 1 of 6

PEPO

(Away)
08 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
HIFK
03 Sept
Atlantis
0 : 0
PEPO
29 Aug
PEPO
1 : 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
22 Aug
PEPO
5 : 1
HIFK
16 Aug
Lahden Reipas
1 : 2
PEPO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 21 14 3 4 46:30 45
2 PEPO 21 12 6 3 39:25 42
3 Atlantis 21 10 3 8 64:48 33
4 HIFK 21 8 7 6 43:37 31
5 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 21 7 9 5 42:34 30
6 HPS 21 7 5 9 42:48 26
Promotion - Kakkonen Play Offs 2026 (Main)