Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS vs TPV

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B 2025 Briotech Arena
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Oris J.
8'
Saukkonen J.
8' Event
Dieter R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

TPV in this Kakkonen Group B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
HPS
40%
Draws
29%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TPV lately — more wins on the board than HPS.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TPV here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
HPS Clean Sheet 16%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS TPV
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
HPS vs TPV
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
HPS vs TPV
1:2
Jun 6, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs HPS
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS 31 / 100
TPV 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS TPV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: TPV conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

HPS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS VS TPV
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ilves 223174267:2955
2TPV23162564:3150
3HJS23125646:3241
4HPS231021133:4032
5Kiffen231011247:4231
6Pallo-Iirot23831239:4327