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HPS W vs Aland United W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HPS W host Aland United W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. HPS W have averaged 2.75 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Aland United W's 2.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, HPS W have won 2 to Aland United W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.38, favoring HPS W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
HPS W
6%
Draws
90%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HPS W come out ahead of Aland United W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aland United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
HPS W Clean Sheet 17%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W Aland United W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
2:1
Oct 7, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
6:2
Jul 2, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 10 / 100
Aland United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Aland United W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: HPS W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS Aland United W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
HPS W
1 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
08 Jul
EBK W
0 : 4
HPS W
04 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 1
HPS W
Page 1 of 6

Aland United W

(Away)
25 Jul
Aland United W
6 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
Aland United W
4 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
04 Jul
Ilves W
0 : 2
Aland United W
01 Jul
Aland United W
1 : 2
KuPS W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)