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HPS W vs Aland United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
HPS W Logo

HPS W

1 - 0
FT
Aland United W Logo

Aland United W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Torronen A. In: Takanen M.
Out: Torronen A.
62'
Sub
Rinkinen H. In: Kahre O.
Out: Rinkinen H.
62'
Sub
Jaaskelainen O. In: Kataja M.
Out: Jaaskelainen O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between HPS W and Aland United W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
HPS W
15%
Draws
32%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • HPS W have managed 1.97 goals a game lately — Aland United W are scoring more at 2.41.
  • Model gives HPS W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W Aland United W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 19 19
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.97 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
1:0
Aug 16, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Perttula T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aland United W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 56 / 100
Aland United W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Aland United W conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: HPS W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS Aland United W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
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Aland United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)