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HPS W vs Gnistan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HPS W host Gnistan W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. HPS W have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Gnistan W's 1.2 scored and 2.36 conceded. Past meetings favor HPS W slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.25) point toward HPS W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
HPS W
15%
Draws
0%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • HPS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives HPS W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and HPS W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
HPS W Clean Sheet 19%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W Gnistan W
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:3
Jun 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Gnistan W
4:0
Apr 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 85 / 100
Gnistan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gnistan W let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Away concern: Gnistan W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS Gnistan W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
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Gnistan W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)