Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
HPS W Logo

HPS W

1 - 2
FT
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Jantti C.
58' Event
Punsar M.
59'
Sub
Punsar M. In: Sinivuori F.
Out: Punsar M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
HPS W
15%
Draws
20%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • HPS W have won more games recently than Ilves W.
  • Model gives HPS W a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
HPS W Clean Sheet 11%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W Ilves W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Punsar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jantti C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lahteenmaki L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 65 / 100
Ilves W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

HPS W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS Ilves W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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Ilves W

(Away)
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)