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HPS W vs KuPS W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
HPS W Logo

HPS W

3 - 2
FT
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Punsar M.
Assist: Reis O.
35' Event
Rochi G.
40' Event
Spenazzatto L.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HPS W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored HPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HPS W
20%
Draws
40%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • KuPS W haven't matched HPS W's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W KuPS W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HPS W
0:0
Aug 8, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
3:2
May 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HPS W
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kahre O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Punsar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 30 / 100
KuPS W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: KuPS W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

HPS W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS KuPS W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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KuPS W

(Away)
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)