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HPS W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HPS W host KuPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. KuPS W have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while HPS W have conceded 0.5 and scored 2.75. Past meetings favor HPS W slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.19, favoring KuPS W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
HPS W
11%
Draws
9%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS W come out ahead of HPS W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans HPS W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
HPS W Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W KuPS W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HPS W
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HPS W
5:1
Aug 9, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 76 / 100
KuPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

KuPS W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

HPS W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS KuPS W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
HPS W
1 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
08 Jul
EBK W
0 : 4
HPS W
04 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 1
HPS W
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KuPS W

(Away)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
04 Jul
HJK W
2 : 0
KuPS W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)