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HPS W vs VIFK Vaasa W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
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Match Events

44' Event
Hassinen S.
Assist: Gustafson M.
57'
Sub
Puolakka L. In: Punsar M.
Out: Puolakka L.
57'
Sub
Jaaskelainen O. In: Kataja M.
Out: Jaaskelainen O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
HPS W
15%
Draws
40%
VIFK Vaasa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • VIFK Vaasa W haven't matched HPS W's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on HPS W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HPS W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
HPS W Clean Sheet 68%
VIFK Vaasa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W VIFK Vaasa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.93 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs VIFK Vaasa W
1:1
May 10, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs HPS W
2:3
Oct 11, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs HPS W
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs VIFK Vaasa W
5:0
Jul 5, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs VIFK Vaasa W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Punsar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

VIFK Vaasa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassinen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 68 / 100
VIFK Vaasa W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W VIFK Vaasa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

VIFK Vaasa W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: HPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS VIFK Vaasa W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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VIFK Vaasa W

(Away)
03 Oct
VIFK Vaasa W
2 : 1
EBK W
26 Sept
Honka W
2 : 3
VIFK Vaasa W
20 Sept
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 4
HJS W
12 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
5 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
29 Aug
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 1
JyPK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)