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Stadium Background

Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hradec Kralove host FK Pardubice in the Chance Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FK Pardubice have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Hradec Kralove have conceded 1 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Hradec Kralove have won 2 to FK Pardubice's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 7, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 2.38) back Hradec Kralove to edge this. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hradec Kralove
20%
Draws
38%
FK Pardubice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hradec Kralove

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hradec Kralove carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hradec Kralove's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hradec Kralove Clean Sheet 10%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hradec Kralove FK Pardubice
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.5 3.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Hradec Kralove
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Hradec Kralove
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hradec Kralove 40 / 100
FK Pardubice 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hradec Kralove FK Pardubice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hradec Kralove scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

FK Pardubice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hradec Kralove remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hradec Kralove VS FK Pardubice
1.5 Goals Scored 3.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hradec Kralove

(Home)
16 Jul
FC Kharkiv
3 : 3
Hradec Kralove
13 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 1
Hradec Kralove
10 Jul
Nordsjaelland
0 : 3
Hradec Kralove
04 Jul
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1
Sparta Prague B
24 May
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Hradec Kralove
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FK Pardubice

(Away)
18 Jul
Jihlava
0 : 5
FK Pardubice
09 Jul
Cracovia
2 : 0
FK Pardubice
05 Jul
Rapid Vienna
2 : 2
FK Pardubice
01 Jul
FK Pardubice
2 : 2
Zilina
01 Jul
Odra Opole
1 : 1
FK Pardubice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovacko00000:00
2Hradec Kralove00000:00
3Bohemians 190500000:00
4Brno00000:00
5Jablonec00000:00
6Liberec00000:00
7Mlada Boleslav00000:00
8Ostrava00000:00
9Plzen00000:00
10Sigma Olomouc00000:00
11Slavia Prague00000:00
12Sparta Prague00000:00
13Teplice00000:00
14Zlin00000:00
15Artis Brno00000:00
16FK Pardubice00000:00
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)