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Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice Prediction & H2H Stats

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Dancak S.
44' Event
van Buren M.
46'
Sub
Drchal V. In: Smekal D.
Out: Drchal V.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Hradec Kralove and FK Pardubice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hradec Kralove.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Hradec Kralove
20%
Draws
45%
FK Pardubice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pardubice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Pardubice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Pardubice's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Hradec Kralove Clean Sheet 15%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hradec Kralove FK Pardubice
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.37 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Hradec Kralove
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Hradec Kralove
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hradec Kralove Compare

Top Goalscorer van Buren M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cech F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FK Pardubice Compare

Top Goalscorer Boledovic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hradec Kralove 15 / 100
FK Pardubice 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hradec Kralove FK Pardubice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pardubice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hradec Kralove scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

FK Pardubice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hradec Kralove remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hradec Kralove VS FK Pardubice
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hradec Kralove

(Home)
02 Oct
Hradec Kralove
2 : 0
SK Kladno
20 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 2
Teplice
16 Sept
Pribram
1 : 2
Hradec Kralove
13 Sept
Zlin
1 : 2
Hradec Kralove
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
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FK Pardubice

(Away)
02 Oct
FK Pardubice
4 : 1
Zizkov
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
05 Sept
Slovacko
0 : 0
FK Pardubice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)