Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hradec Kralove vs Liberec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Regza M.
33' Event
Suchomel M.
Assist: Petrasek T.
54'
Suchomel M.

AI Match Summary

Hradec Kralove in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hradec Kralove.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Hradec Kralove
20%
Draws
45%
Liberec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liberec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Liberec have won more games recently than Hradec Kralove.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Liberec taking it.
  • Regular Chance Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Hradec Kralove Clean Sheet 15%
Liberec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hradec Kralove Liberec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Hradec Kralove
2:0
May 13, 2026 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs Liberec
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Hradec Kralove
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs Liberec
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs Liberec
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hradec Kralove Compare

Top Goalscorer Suchomel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Liberec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hradec Kralove 10 / 100
Liberec 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hradec Kralove Liberec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hradec Kralove's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Liberec let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Hradec Kralove remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hradec Kralove VS Liberec
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hradec Kralove

(Home)
20 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 2
Teplice
16 Sept
Pribram
1 : 2
Hradec Kralove
13 Sept
Zlin
1 : 2
Hradec Kralove
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
06 Sept
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1
Sparta Prague
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Liberec

(Away)
19 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 0
Liberec
15 Sept
Vlasim
0 : 2
Liberec
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
30 Aug
Liberec
2 : 0
Hradec Kralove
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 35 24 8 3 74:31 80
2 Sparta Prague 35 23 7 5 69:34 76
3 Plzen 35 18 9 8 60:38 63
4 Hradec Kralove 35 16 8 11 50:41 56
5 Jablonec 35 16 7 12 45:47 55
6 Liberec 35 12 10 13 45:39 46
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)