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Stadium Background

HSC '21 vs HBC Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Vonk J.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Iallouchen M.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between HSC '21 and HBC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HSC '21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
HSC '21
35%
Draws
37%
HBC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • HBC haven't matched HSC '21's recent run of results.
  • HBC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 11%
HBC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HSC '21 HBC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 1
Draws 4 7
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs HBC
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
HBC vs HSC '21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HSC '21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iallouchen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

HBC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSC '21 22 / 100
HBC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HSC '21 HBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HBC let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: HSC '21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

HBC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HSC '21 VS HBC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HSC '21

(Home)
23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4
HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1
Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0
HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4
TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
HSC '21
Page 1 of 7

HBC

(Away)
07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0
HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1
HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1
Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2
Huizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)