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HSV Hoek vs GVVV

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Denoek, Hoek
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Potjes J.
55'
Willems M.
56'
Sub
Jalloh A. In: Hage S.
Out: Jalloh A.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between HSV Hoek and GVVV finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GVVV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HSV Hoek
20%
Draws
40%
GVVV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • HSV Hoek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans GVVV's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 12%
GVVV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HSV Hoek GVVV
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.82 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs GVVV
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Tweede Divisie
GVVV vs HSV Hoek
1:3
Jan 28, 2023 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs GVVV
4:7
Sep 3, 2022 Derde Divisie
GVVV vs HSV Hoek
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HSV Hoek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

GVVV Compare

Top Goalscorer Potjes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSV Hoek 27 / 100
GVVV 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HSV Hoek GVVV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GVVV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HSV Hoek found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: GVVV conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

HSV Hoek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HSV Hoek VS GVVV
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

HSV Hoek

(Home)
15 Jul
HSV Hoek
1 : 2
NAC Breda
23 May
De Treffers
2 : 2
HSV Hoek
16 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2
HSV Hoek
25 Apr
HSV Hoek
4 : 0
Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 6

GVVV

(Away)
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
01 Aug
GVVV
6 : 3
Huizen
28 Jul
GVVV
1 : 2
Eemdijk
23 May
Jong Almere City
5 : 4
GVVV
16 May
GVVV
1 : 1
AFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)