Sport Picks
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Denoek, Hoek 
Match Events
13'
13'
de Poorter R.
Assist: Hebbelinck K.
46'
46'
Sub
de Beer J. In: Lenssen L.
Out: de Beer J.
59'
59'
Sub
Hagedoorn S. In: Nsingi J.
Out: Hagedoorn S.
AI Match Summary
HSV Hoek in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored HSV Hoek.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HSV Hoek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to HSV Hoek lately — more wins on the board than Jong Almere City.
- Win probability leans HSV Hoek's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HSV Hoek | Jong Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs HSV Hoek
1:2
Mar 14, 2020 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Derde Divisie
Jong Almere City vs HSV Hoek
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
HSV Hoek Compare
Top Goalscorer de Poorter R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aelterman N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Jong Almere City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HSV Hoek 38 / 100
Jong Almere City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HSV Hoek Jong Almere City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HSV Hoek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HSV Hoek's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Jong Almere City let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
HSV Hoek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
HSV Hoek VS Jong Almere City
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
HSV Hoek
(Home) 19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1 HSV Hoek
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2 Spakenburg
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2 Spakenburg
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
15 Jul
HSV Hoek
1 : 2 NAC Breda
16 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0 Rijnsburgse Boys
Page 1 of 3
Jong Almere City
(Away) 19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3 Spakenburg
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
29 Aug
Jong Almere City
1 : 2 Koninklijke HFC
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1 Jong Almere City
16 May
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 1 Jong Almere City
25 Apr
HSV Hoek
4 : 0 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
