Sport Picks
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie Sportpark Denoek, Hoek 
Match Events
34'
34'
Boere T.
38'
38'
Ghogli I.
54'
54'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Almere City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Jong Almere City average 1.9 goals a game right now, well clear of HSV Hoek's 1.62.
- 29% — that's where the model lands on HSV Hoek taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 11%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HSV Hoek | Jong Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs HSV Hoek
1:2
Mar 14, 2020 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Jong Almere City
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Derde Divisie
Jong Almere City vs HSV Hoek
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
HSV Hoek Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Jong Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghogli I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HSV Hoek 47 / 100
Jong Almere City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HSV Hoek Jong Almere City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HSV Hoek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HSV Hoek scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Jong Almere City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
HSV Hoek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
HSV Hoek VS Jong Almere City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
HSV Hoek
(Home) 10 Oct
AFC
2 : 0 HSV Hoek
03 Oct
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 De Treffers
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0 HSV Hoek
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 De Treffers
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2 Spakenburg
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
15 Jul
HSV Hoek
1 : 2 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 3
Jong Almere City
(Away) 10 Oct
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 4 Jong Almere City
03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4 Jong Almere City
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4 Barendrecht
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3 Spakenburg
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 4 Jong Almere City
03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4 Jong Almere City
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 24 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:12 | 20 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 18 |
| 4 | IJsselmeervogels | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 16 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Barendrecht | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 7 | AFC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 8 | Spakenburg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 9 | GVVV | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:18 | 12 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 12 |
| 11 | RKAV Volendam | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18:19 | 12 |
| 12 | Katwijk | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 13 | Jong Almere City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19:18 | 10 |
| 14 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 15 | HSV Hoek | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 16 | VV Kloetinge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:24 | 7 |
| 17 | Koninklijke HFC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 6 |
| 18 | Rohda Raalte | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:31 | 1 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
