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HSV Hoek vs Kozakken Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark Denoek, Hoek
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HSV Hoek host Kozakken Boys in the Tweede Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kozakken Boys have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while HSV Hoek have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, HSV Hoek have won 2 to Kozakken Boys's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.25) point toward Kozakken Boys. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
HSV Hoek
30%
Draws
51%
Kozakken Boys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kozakken Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kozakken Boys come out ahead of HSV Hoek on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kozakken Boys's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 10%
Kozakken Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HSV Hoek Kozakken Boys
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Kozakken Boys
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs HSV Hoek
1:3
Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs HSV Hoek
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Kozakken Boys
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSV Hoek 10 / 100
Kozakken Boys 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HSV Hoek Kozakken Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozakken Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HSV Hoek's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kozakken Boys conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

HSV Hoek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HSV Hoek VS Kozakken Boys
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HSV Hoek

(Home)
03 Oct
HSV Hoek
3 : 1
De Treffers
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

Kozakken Boys

(Away)
03 Oct
Katwijk
1 : 5
Kozakken Boys
26 Sept
Kozakken Boys
1 : 1
Koninklijke HFC
23 Sept
Germania Groesbeek
1 : 5
Kozakken Boys
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
Kozakken Boys
6 : 1
Rijnsburgse Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 8 7 0 1 22:6 21
2 Kozakken Boys 8 5 2 1 23:12 17
3 De Treffers 8 4 3 1 20:9 15
4 Hardenberg 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Barendrecht 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
6 IJsselmeervogels 7 4 1 2 10:5 13
7 Spakenburg 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 23:15 12
9 Katwijk 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
10 AFC 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 8 3 1 4 15:22 10
12 GVVV 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
13 HSV Hoek 8 2 3 3 11:13 9
14 RKAV Volendam 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
15 Jong Almere City 8 2 1 5 15:17 7
16 Koninklijke HFC 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
17 VV Kloetinge 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
18 Rohda Raalte 8 0 1 7 7:23 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)