Sport Picks

Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026 Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

HSV Hoek

1 - 4

Telstar

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Bakker D.

30'

Sub

Hage S. In: Aelterman N.

Out: Hage S.

33'

Owusu T.

Assist: Zonneveld M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Telstar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

HSV Hoek

20%

Draws

44%

Telstar

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Telstar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

HSV Hoek carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on HSV Hoek taking it.
HSV Hoek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Telstar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 15%

Telstar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HSV Hoek	Telstar
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	11
Draws	6	4
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.72	1.79
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 KNVB Beker

HSV Hoek vs Telstar

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HSV Hoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Martens G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Brouwer P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSV Hoek 75 / 100

Telstar 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HSV Hoek Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HSV Hoek Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HSV Hoek's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Telstar conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: HSV Hoek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HSV Hoek VS Telstar

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HSV Hoek

(Home)

29 Aug

HSV Hoek

0 : 2

Spakenburg

22 Aug

Katwijk

1 : 1

HSV Hoek

15 Aug

HSV Hoek

3 : 1

Koninklijke HFC

15 Jul

HSV Hoek

1 : 2

NAC Breda

23 May

De Treffers

2 : 2

HSV Hoek

Page 1 of 6

Telstar

(Away)

30 Aug

Telstar

0 : 4

Ajax

14 Aug

Telstar

1 : 3

Sparta Rotterdam

08 Aug

Nijmegen

1 : 2

Telstar

31 Jul

Wolfsburg

3 : 1

Telstar

17 Jul

De Graafschap

3 : 6

Telstar

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Aalsmeer 2

HZVV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

Excelsior Maassluis -

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

Walcheren 1

VV Noordwijk 3

TBD -

Hardenberg -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 4

GOES 0

TBD -

Spakenburg -

RKVV Erp 0

VV DOVO 4

TEC 3

SV Poortugaal 2

Rohda Raalte 4

HVV Hollandia 1

SteDoCo 0

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

TBD -

Twente -

SV Juliana 31 0

Meerssen 2

Gemert 2

Huizen 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Harkemase Boys 0

Sparta Nijkerk 1

VV Kloetinge 3

DVO 0

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 6

Rijnvogels 4

Blauw Geel 2

VVOG 1

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 1

Westlandia 0

VV Zwaluwen 1

Urk 2

TBD -

Telstar -

VVSB 1

Capelle 2

SVV Scheveningen 2

Staphorst 0

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

De Foresters 2

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 6

Velocitas 1

TBD -

FC Emmen -

TOGB 1

RKSV UDI 19 3

Sportlust 4

Sportclub 25 1

Kozakken Boys 4

Kampong 0

TBD -

Barendrecht -

De Treffers -

TBD -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 4

Dongen 0

DZOH Emmen 2

Excelsior 31 5

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Heino 3

Groene Ster 4

IJsselmeervogels 0

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 3

ACV Assen 1

AWC 0

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

ADO 20 Heemskerk 0

Roosendaal 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

Olde Veste 0

HSC '21 3

't Zand 4

Mierlo-Hout 2

Koninklijke HFC -

TBD -

UNA 1

ARC 2

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/64-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

HZVV Hoogeveen 1

Excelsior Maassluis 5

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

VV Noordwijk 0

Hardenberg 2

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 1

Spakenburg 3

VV DOVO 1

TEC 0

Rohda Raalte 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

TBD -

Twente -

Meerssen 0

Gemert 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Sparta Nijkerk 4

VV Kloetinge 3

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 1

Blauw Geel 0

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 4

Urk 1

TBD -

Telstar -

Capelle 5

SVV Scheveningen 1

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

FC Emmen -

RKSV UDI 19 0

Sportlust 1

Kozakken Boys 2

Barendrecht 3

De Treffers 6

RKAV Volendam 3

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 2

Excelsior 31 1

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Groene Ster 1

Genemuiden 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

Roosendaal 0

GVVV 1

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

HSC '21 3

't Zand 1

Koninklijke HFC 5

ARC 0

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/32-finals

Helmond Sport 1

Zwolle 4

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Excelsior Maassluis 1

Excelsior 0

TBD -

Ajax -

Hardenberg 0

TOP Oss 2

TBD -

Utrecht -

Spakenburg 5

VV DOVO 1

Rohda Raalte 1

Twente 4

Gemert 0

Sittard 1

Sparta Nijkerk 0

Almere City 2

HSV Hoek 3

Eindhoven FC 2

Lisse 0

Telstar 5

Capelle 1

Roda 5

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda 1

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

FC Emmen 0

Sportlust 1

Barendrecht 0

De Treffers 3

Maastricht 1

Eemdijk 1

AFC 2

Rijnsburgse Boys 2

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 7

Dordrecht 0

Sparta Rotterdam 5

Groningen 2

Quick Boys 1

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 0

Den Bosch 4

Den Haag 3

Katwijk 2

Vitesse 1

PSV -

TBD -

GVVV 4

De Graafschap 2

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo 0

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 3

Koninklijke HFC 0

Waalwijk 3

Cambuur 2

1/16-finals

Zwolle 1

AZ Alkmaar 3

Excelsior Maassluis 2

Ajax 7

TOP Oss 0

Utrecht 2

Spakenburg 3

Twente 6

Sittard 2

Almere City 3

HSV Hoek 1

Telstar 4

Roda 1

G.A. Eagles 2

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

Sportlust 0

De Treffers 1

AFC 1

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 1

Sparta Rotterdam 5

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 0

Den Bosch 2

Katwijk 1

PSV 3

GVVV 0

Feyenoord 2

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 0

Waalwijk 9

1/8-finals

AZ Alkmaar 6

Ajax 0

Utrecht 1

Twente 2

Almere City 1

Telstar 3

G.A. Eagles 3

Heracles 2

De Treffers 1

Nijmegen 2

Sparta Rotterdam 1

FC Volendam 2

Den Bosch 1

PSV 4

Heerenveen 3

Waalwijk 1

Quarter-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Twente 1

Telstar 2

G.A. Eagles 1

Nijmegen 1

FC Volendam 0

PSV 4

Heerenveen 1

Semi-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Telstar 1

Nijmegen 3

PSV 2

Final

AZ Alkmaar 5

Nijmegen 1

HSV Hoek vs Telstar

Netherlands

HSV Hoek

Telstar

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

HSV Hoek Compare

Telstar Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

HSV Hoek

Telstar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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