Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

D. Concepcion

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Huachipato play D. Concepcion in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, Huachipato averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. D. Concepcion averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Huachipato won 2, D. Concepcion won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Huachipato and 1.19 for D. Concepcion. This points to a Huachipato double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Huachipato

27%

Draws

30%

D. Concepcion

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Huachipato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Huachipato picked up more points recently compared to D. Concepcion.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Huachipato Clean Sheet 20%

D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Huachipato	D. Concepcion
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	11	10
Draws	6	9
Losses	13	19
Goals Scored	1.27	1.11
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga de Primera

D. Concepcion vs Huachipato

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

May 5, 2026 Copa de la Liga

D. Concepcion vs Huachipato

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Mar 21, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Huachipato vs D. Concepcion

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Jul 10, 2025 Copa Chile

Huachipato vs D. Concepcion

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Jul 2, 2025 Copa Chile

D. Concepcion vs Huachipato

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huachipato 43 / 100

D. Concepcion 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Huachipato D. Concepcion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Huachipato or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Huachipato attacking → ← attacking D. Concepcion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huachipato scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

D. Concepcion let in goals in 89% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Huachipato went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

D. Concepcion lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 39

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	2	1	1	0	4:1	4
2	Limache	2	1	1	0	4:2	4
3	Deportes Iquique	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
4	San Marcos de Arica	3	0	1	2	1:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	2	2	0	0	6:1	6
2	Copiapo	3	1	1	1	2:4	4
3	San Luis	3	0	2	1	3:4	2
4	Everton	2	0	1	1	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Antofagasta	3	2	1	0	6:3	7
2	Cobreloa	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
3	La Serena	1	0	0	1	2:4	0
4	Cobresal	1	0	0	1	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Felipe	3	2	1	5:4	6
2	U. De Chile	1	1	0	4:1	3
3	S. Wanderers	3	1	2	5:7	3
4	Union La Calera	1	0	1	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Espanola	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
2	Colo Colo	1	1	0	0	3:0	3
3	Recoleta	3	1	0	2	2:5	3
4	O Higgins	1	0	1	0	1:1	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Rangers	3	2	1	4:3	6
2	Curico Unido	3	2	1	3:2	6
3	U. De Concepcion	1	0	1	1:2	0
4	Nublense	1	0	1	0:1	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Santa Cruz	3	3	0	7:2	9
2	Palestino	2	1	1	5:3	3
3	A. Italiano	2	1	1	2:2	3
4	Magallanes	3	0	3	3:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Temuco	3	1	2	0	4:3	5
2	D. Puerto Montt	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
3	D. Concepcion	1	0	1	0	1:1	1
4	Huachipato	1	0	0	1	0:2	0