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Huachipato vs La Serena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero, Talcahuano
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Huachipato host La Serena in the Liga de Primera. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Huachipato at 1.3 goals for, 1.5 against; La Serena at 1.4 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Huachipato slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.88) back Huachipato to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Huachipato
20%
Draws
33%
La Serena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Huachipato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Huachipato have won more games recently than La Serena.
  • Huachipato are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Huachipato Clean Sheet 10%
La Serena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huachipato La Serena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Huachipato
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Huachipato
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Liga de Primera
Huachipato vs La Serena
3:1
Aug 14, 2022 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Huachipato
0:1
Mar 20, 2022 Liga de Primera
Huachipato vs La Serena
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huachipato 34 / 100
La Serena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huachipato La Serena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Serena has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Huachipato scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Huachipato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Huachipato VS La Serena
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Huachipato

(Home)
10 Oct
Huachipato
2 : 0
O Higgins
02 Oct
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
Huachipato
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
06 Sept
Huachipato
0 : 0
Colo Colo
22 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 3
Limache
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La Serena

(Away)
11 Oct
Everton
3 : 2
La Serena
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 24 17 3 4 50:27 54
2 U. De Chile 24 13 6 5 41:19 45
3 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
4 Everton 24 11 6 7 40:27 39
5 Palestino 24 11 4 9 38:35 37
6 Limache 24 10 4 10 45:37 34
7 Huachipato 24 10 4 10 34:39 34
8 Coquimbo 24 9 5 10 36:34 32
9 D. Concepcion 24 9 5 10 26:27 32
10 Nublense 24 8 8 8 28:37 32
11 La Serena 24 7 9 8 36:41 30
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 24 8 3 13 28:38 27
14 Cobresal 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
15 U. De Concepcion 24 6 5 13 18:40 23
16 Union La Calera 24 4 6 14 20:41 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)