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Huetor Tajar vs El Palo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Amador J.
63' Event
Vilchez P.
Own Goal
66' Event
Hidalgo R.

AI Match Summary

Huetor Tajar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Huetor Tajar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Huetor Tajar
15%
Draws
34%
El Palo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Huetor Tajar lately — more wins on the board than El Palo.
  • Model gives Huetor Tajar a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%
El Palo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Tajar El Palo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs El Palo
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Huetor Tajar
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Huetor Tajar
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs El Palo
1:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Huetor Tajar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Tajar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidalgo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

El Palo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Tajar 68 / 100
El Palo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Tajar El Palo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Huetor Tajar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: El Palo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Tajar VS El Palo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Tajar

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
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El Palo

(Away)
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1
El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1
Motril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)