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Stadium Background

Huetor Tajar vs Motril

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
de la Hoz D.
90' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Huetor Tajar and Motril finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Huetor Tajar
30%
Draws
35%
Motril
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Huetor Tajar haven't matched Motril's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%
Motril Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Tajar Motril
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 14
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Motril
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Huetor Tajar
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Motril
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Huetor Tajar
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Motril
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Tajar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Hoz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Tajar 41 / 100
Motril 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Tajar Motril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Motril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Huetor Tajar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Tajar VS Motril
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Tajar

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
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Motril

(Away)
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)