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Huetor Vega vs Marbelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Jarauta A.
34' Event
de la Lama M.
54' Event
Carmona K.

AI Match Summary

Marbelli in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marbelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Huetor Vega
30%
Draws
51%
Marbelli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Marbelli have won more games recently than Huetor Vega.
  • Model gives Marbelli a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 15%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Vega Marbelli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Marbelli
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Marbelli
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Huetor Vega
2:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Marbelli
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Huetor Vega
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Vega Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Marbelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarauta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de la Lama M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Vega 19 / 100
Marbelli 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Vega Marbelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Vega found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Huetor Vega has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Marbelli conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Vega VS Marbelli
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Vega

(Home)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
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Marbelli

(Away)
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1
Marbelli
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)