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Huetor Vega vs Martos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Moleon M.
44' Event
Perez P.
84' Event
Grasa J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Huetor Vega and Martos finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Huetor Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Huetor Vega
30%
Draws
31%
Martos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Huetor Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Huetor Vega come out ahead of Martos on wins alone.
  • Huetor Vega are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Huetor Vega here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 19%
Martos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Vega Martos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Martos
4:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Huetor Vega
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Martos
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Huetor Vega
0:2
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Martos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Moleon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Martos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Vega 85 / 100
Martos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Vega Martos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Vega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Vega's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Martos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Huetor Vega went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Vega VS Martos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Vega

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1
Marbelli
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1
Huetor Vega
12 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
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Martos

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)