Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Moleon M.
26'
26'
Leon Garcia C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Huetor Vega and Motril finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Motril come out ahead of Huetor Vega on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 20%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Huetor Vega | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Motril
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Motril
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Huetor Vega
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Huetor Vega
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Motril
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Huetor Vega Compare
Top Goalscorer Moleon M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Leon Garcia C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Huetor Vega 36 / 100
Motril 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Huetor Vega Motril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Huetor Vega found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Motril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Huetor Vega stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Huetor Vega VS Motril
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Huetor Vega
(Home) 20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
12 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 3
Motril
(Away) 20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Motril
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1 Motril
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0 Motril
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
