Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hulbuk vs Regar-TadAZ

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Frimpong E.
17' Event
Frimpong E.
56' Event
Makhamadiev S.

AI Match Summary

Regar-TadAZ in this Vysshaya Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Regar-TadAZ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Hulbuk
30%
Draws
58%
Regar-TadAZ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Regar-TadAZ lately — more wins on the board than Hulbuk.
  • Regar-TadAZ are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Hulbuk Clean Sheet 23%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hulbuk Regar-TadAZ
Matches Played 24 34
Wins 2 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.71 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Hulbuk
0:0
May 11, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Hulbuk vs Regar-TadAZ
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hulbuk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Regar-TadAZ Compare

Top Goalscorer Frimpong E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Makhamadiev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hulbuk 10 / 100
Regar-TadAZ 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hulbuk Regar-TadAZ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Regar-TadAZ conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Hulbuk scored in 54% of their last 24 games.

Hulbuk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hulbuk VS Regar-TadAZ
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hulbuk

(Home)
10 Dec
Sardor Tursunzoda
2 : 0
Hulbuk
07 Dec
Hulbuk
2 : 2
Sardor Tursunzoda
04 Dec
Hulbuk
1 : 5
Istiqlol Dushanbe
10 Nov
Hulbuk
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
02 Nov
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Hulbuk
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Regar-TadAZ

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)