Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hull City vs Millwall

England England

Championship 2025/2026 MKM Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hull City play Millwall in the Championship 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hull City averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Millwall averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Hull City won 3, Millwall won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Hull City and 1.25 for Millwall. This points to a Hull City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hull City
23%
Draws
38%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Hull City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Hull City picked up more points recently compared to Millwall.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Hull City Clean Sheet 19%
Millwall Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hull City Millwall
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
0:2
May 8, 2026 Championship
Hull City vs Millwall
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Championship
Hull City vs Millwall
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hull City 39 / 100
Millwall 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hull City Millwall

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hull City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hull City attacking → ← attacking Millwall

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hull City scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Millwall let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Hull City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Millwall lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 49
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63