Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hull City vs Millwall

England England

Championship 2025/2026 MKM Stadium, Hull
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
De Norre C.
69'
Sub
Millar L. In: Hirakawa Y.
Out: Millar L.
70'
Sub
Belloumi M. In: Joseph K.
Out: Belloumi M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hull City
15%
Draws
46%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Millwall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Millwall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hull City a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Millwall arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Millwall, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hull City Clean Sheet 20%
Millwall Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hull City Millwall
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
0:2
May 8, 2026 Championship
Hull City vs Millwall
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Championship
Hull City vs Millwall
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hull City 42 / 100
Millwall 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hull City Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hull City found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Millwall conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Hull City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hull City VS Millwall
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hull City

(Home)
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1
Hull City
25 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2
Hull City
22 Aug
Hull City
2 : 0
Manchester United
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
08 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 0
Hull City
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Millwall

(Away)
29 Aug
Southampton
5 : 1
Millwall
25 Aug
Cambridge Utd
0 : 1
Millwall
22 Aug
Millwall
3 : 0
Norwich
15 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 2
Millwall
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2
Millwall
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millwall 0
Hull City 2
Southampton 2
Middlesbrough 1
Final
Hull City 1
Middlesbrough 0