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Hull City W vs Loughborough Lightning W

England England

Women's National League North MKM Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Hull City W host Loughborough Lightning W in the Women's National League North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hull City W have averaged 1.13 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Loughborough Lightning W's 0.75 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Loughborough Lightning W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.88) point toward Hull City W. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hull City W
6%
Draws
90%
Loughborough Lightning W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hull City W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Loughborough Lightning W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Loughborough Lightning W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Women's National League North provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hull City W Clean Sheet 10%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hull City W Loughborough Lightning W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 3 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Women's National League North
Hull City W vs Loughborough Lightning W
0:1
Oct 30, 2025 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Hull City W
0:2
Jan 16, 2022 Women's National League North
Hull City W vs Loughborough Lightning W
1:3
Aug 15, 2021 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Hull City W
2:2
Jan 12, 2020 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Hull City W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hull City W 10 / 100
Loughborough Lightning W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hull City W Loughborough Lightning W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hull City W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Loughborough Lightning W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Hull City W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Loughborough Lightning W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hull City W VS Loughborough Lightning W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley W22202063:562
2Wolverhampton W22201170:1061
3Rugby Borough W22125543:2741
4Stoke City LFC W22103936:3133
5Middlesbrough W2287729:3031
6West Brom W2294929:3131
7Liverpool Feds W22751044:4526
8Derby W22641218:3922
9Hull City W22551223:5420
10Loughborough Lightning W22471121:4319
11Halifax W22441415:3816
12Sporting Khalsa W22311818:5610