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Hungary U21 vs Ireland U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Melia M.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Jurek G.
Assist: Denes A.
34'
Vingler L.

AI Match Summary

Ireland U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ireland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Hungary U21
35%
Draws
39%
Ireland U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ireland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Ireland U21 have won more games recently than Hungary U21.
  • Hungary U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ireland U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hungary U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary U21 Ireland U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 Friendly International
Hungary U21 vs Ireland U21
1:3
Sep 6, 2012 Euro U21
Hungary U21 vs Ireland U21
2:1
Sep 1, 2011 Euro U21
Ireland U21 vs Hungary U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurek G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ireland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McManus C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary U21 68 / 100
Ireland U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary U21 Ireland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Hungary U21's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ireland U21 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Hungary U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hungary U21 VS Ireland U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
13 Nov
Hungary U21
3 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
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Ireland U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
18 Nov
Andorra U21
4 : 0
Ireland U21
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