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Friendly International 2024 Puskas Arena

Turkey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hungary play Turkey in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hungary averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Turkey averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Hungary won 3, Turkey won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Hungary and 1.94 for Turkey. This points to a Turkey double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Hungary

15%

Draws

46%

Turkey

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Hungary picked up more points recently compared to Turkey.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Hungary Clean Sheet 10%

Turkey Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hungary	Turkey
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	18
Draws	8	4
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.33	1.74
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League

Hungary vs Turkey

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

0:3

Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League

Turkey vs Hungary

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International

Hungary vs Turkey

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Nov 18, 2020 UEFA Nations League

Hungary vs Turkey

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sep 3, 2020 UEFA Nations League

Turkey vs Hungary

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 37 / 100

Turkey 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hungary Turkey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Turkey or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hungary attacking → ← attacking Turkey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hungary scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Turkey let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Hungary went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Turkey lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 58

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63