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Hungerford vs Basingstoke

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Green J.
25' Event
Marcon J.
48' Event
Bello O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Basingstoke in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basingstoke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Hungerford
30%
Draws
16%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hungerford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Hungerford have won more games recently than Basingstoke.
  • Win probability leans Hungerford's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hungerford Clean Sheet 16%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungerford Basingstoke
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hungerford vs Basingstoke
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Hungerford
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Hungerford vs Basingstoke
2:1
Oct 22, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Hungerford
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Hungerford vs Basingstoke
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungerford Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Basingstoke Compare

Top Goalscorer Green J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grant J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungerford 75 / 100
Basingstoke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungerford Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungerford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hungerford scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Hungerford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hungerford VS Basingstoke
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungerford

(Home)
19 Sept
Slimbridge
1 : 3
Hungerford
05 Sept
Wells City
0 : 4
Hungerford
29 Aug
Portland United
3 : 1
Hungerford
25 Apr
Chertsey Town
1 : 0
Hungerford
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0
Dorchester
Page 1 of 7

Basingstoke

(Away)
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)