Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022

Blauw Geel

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HVV Hollandia play Blauw Geel in the Derde Divisie 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, HVV Hollandia averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Blauw Geel averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, HVV Hollandia won 0, Blauw Geel won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 15, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for HVV Hollandia and 1.19 for Blauw Geel. This points to a Blauw Geel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

HVV Hollandia

32%

Draws

37%

Blauw Geel

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Blauw Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

HVV Hollandia picked up more points recently compared to Blauw Geel.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 20%

Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HVV Hollandia	Blauw Geel
Matches Played	28	36
Wins	10	15
Draws	3	6
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.25	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.82	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Derde Divisie

HVV Hollandia vs Blauw Geel

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Nov 7, 2021 Derde Divisie

Blauw Geel vs HVV Hollandia

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Jan 24, 2021 Derde Divisie

HVV Hollandia vs Blauw Geel

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Nov 22, 2020 Derde Divisie

Blauw Geel vs HVV Hollandia

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HVV Hollandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Deen S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Blauw Geel Compare

Top Goalscorer Duits V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HVV Hollandia 32 / 100

Blauw Geel 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HVV Hollandia Blauw Geel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Blauw Geel or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

HVV Hollandia attacking → ← attacking Blauw Geel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HVV Hollandia scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Blauw Geel let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

HVV Hollandia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Blauw Geel lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 51

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lisse	34	21	7	6	70:38	70
2	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	7	8	65:38	64
3	Sportlust	34	17	7	10	63:40	58
4	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	18	4	12	61:41	58
5	HSV Hoek	34	16	7	11	53:49	55
6	ACV Assen	34	14	9	11	50:42	51
7	Excelsior 31	34	14	9	11	53:47	51
8	Barendrecht	34	13	11	10	72:57	50
9	SteDoCo	34	12	9	13	49:48	45
10	Staphorst	34	13	6	15	54:56	45
11	Ter Leede	34	13	5	16	49:67	44
12	Harkemase Boys	34	10	12	12	63:62	42
13	VV DOVO	34	10	8	16	43:57	38
14	VVSB	34	10	8	16	50:66	38
15	ODIN '59	34	9	10	15	52:68	37
16	VVOG	34	10	7	17	61:82	37
17	Ajax (Am)	34	10	6	18	38:54	36
18	GOES	34	6	10	18	44:78	28

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	OFC Oostzaan	34	18	7	9	66:47	61
2	USV Hercules	34	18	5	11	74:46	59
3	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	7	10	64:46	58
4	Gemert	34	15	12	7	75:57	57
5	FC OSS '20	34	16	8	10	62:46	56
6	Groene Ster	34	14	9	11	48:50	51
7	Dongen	34	13	11	10	56:47	50
8	UNA	34	15	5	14	60:58	50
9	HSC '21	34	15	4	15	63:52	49
10	HV & CV Quick	34	14	5	15	47:44	47
11	Blauw Geel	34	13	6	15	55:56	45
12	DEM	34	13	6	15	37:50	45
13	GVV Unitas	34	12	6	16	41:59	42
14	Watergraafsmeer	34	12	6	16	59:69	40
15	Hoogland	34	11	6	17	42:64	39
16	EVV	34	9	10	15	36:59	37
17	HVV Hollandia	34	10	5	19	38:55	35
18	Westlandia	34	8	8	18	43:61	32