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HVV Hollandia vs VV Scherpenzeel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HVV Hollandia host VV Scherpenzeel in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: HVV Hollandia at 1.41 goals for, 2.3 against; VV Scherpenzeel at 1.93 for, 1.28 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.69) point toward VV Scherpenzeel. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
HVV Hollandia
20%
Draws
63%
VV Scherpenzeel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VV Scherpenzeel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • HVV Hollandia haven't matched VV Scherpenzeel's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on VV Scherpenzeel taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 10%
VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HVV Hollandia VV Scherpenzeel
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HVV Hollandia 10 / 100
VV Scherpenzeel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HVV Hollandia VV Scherpenzeel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Scherpenzeel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HVV Hollandia scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: VV Scherpenzeel conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: HVV Hollandia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HVV Hollandia VS VV Scherpenzeel
2 Goals Scored 1.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HVV Hollandia

(Home)
17 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Staphorst
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
Page 1 of 6

VV Scherpenzeel

(Away)
17 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 1
TEC
10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2
VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 2
ACV Assen
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)