Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022

HVV Hollandia

0 - 1

Watergraafsmeer

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Plemper T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2021/2022 game between HVV Hollandia and Watergraafsmeer finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Watergraafsmeer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

HVV Hollandia

11%

Draws

Watergraafsmeer

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: HVV Hollandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and HVV Hollandia come out ahead of Watergraafsmeer on wins alone.
Model gives HVV Hollandia a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Derde Divisie 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 20%

Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HVV Hollandia	Watergraafsmeer
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	3	4
Losses	15	18
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2022 Derde Divisie

HVV Hollandia vs Watergraafsmeer

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Aug 29, 2021 Derde Divisie

Watergraafsmeer vs HVV Hollandia

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 3, 2021 Derde Divisie

HVV Hollandia vs Watergraafsmeer

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Oct 25, 2020 Derde Divisie

Watergraafsmeer vs HVV Hollandia

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HVV Hollandia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Plemper T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HVV Hollandia 76 / 100

Watergraafsmeer 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HVV Hollandia Watergraafsmeer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watergraafsmeer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: HVV Hollandia scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: HVV Hollandia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Watergraafsmeer registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HVV Hollandia VS Watergraafsmeer

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lisse	34	21	7	6	70:38	70
2	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	7	8	65:38	64
3	Sportlust	34	17	7	10	63:40	58
4	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	18	4	12	61:41	58
5	HSV Hoek	34	16	7	11	53:49	55
6	ACV Assen	34	14	9	11	50:42	51
7	Excelsior 31	34	14	9	11	53:47	51
8	Barendrecht	34	13	11	10	72:57	50
9	SteDoCo	34	12	9	13	49:48	45
10	Staphorst	34	13	6	15	54:56	45
11	Ter Leede	34	13	5	16	49:67	44
12	Harkemase Boys	34	10	12	12	63:62	42
13	VV DOVO	34	10	8	16	43:57	38
14	VVSB	34	10	8	16	50:66	38
15	ODIN '59	34	9	10	15	52:68	37
16	VVOG	34	10	7	17	61:82	37
17	Ajax (Am)	34	10	6	18	38:54	36
18	GOES	34	6	10	18	44:78	28

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	OFC Oostzaan	34	18	7	9	66:47	61
2	USV Hercules	34	18	5	11	74:46	59
3	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	7	10	64:46	58
4	Gemert	34	15	12	7	75:57	57
5	FC OSS '20	34	16	8	10	62:46	56
6	Groene Ster	34	14	9	11	48:50	51
7	Dongen	34	13	11	10	56:47	50
8	UNA	34	15	5	14	60:58	50
9	HSC '21	34	15	4	15	63:52	49
10	HV & CV Quick	34	14	5	15	47:44	47
11	Blauw Geel	34	13	6	15	55:56	45
12	DEM	34	13	6	15	37:50	45
13	GVV Unitas	34	12	6	16	41:59	42
14	Watergraafsmeer	34	12	6	16	59:69	40
15	Hoogland	34	11	6	17	42:64	39
16	EVV	34	9	10	15	36:59	37
17	HVV Hollandia	34	10	5	19	38:55	35
18	Westlandia	34	8	8	18	43:61	32