Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hwaseong vs Cheongju

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
42'
Lim C.
43'
Fonseca R.

AI Match Summary

Hwaseong in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hwaseong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hwaseong
30%
Draws
33%
Cheongju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hwaseong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hwaseong have won more games recently than Cheongju.
  • Hwaseong are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hwaseong have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 20%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hwaseong Cheongju
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
2:1
May 23, 2026 K League 2
Cheongju vs Hwaseong
2:3
Oct 11, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 K League 2
Cheongju vs Hwaseong
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Cheongju
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jae-Seong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pllana L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cheongju Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hwaseong 85 / 100
Cheongju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hwaseong Cheongju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hwaseong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hwaseong found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Cheongju has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Hwaseong remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hwaseong VS Cheongju
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hwaseong

(Home)
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
23 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Hwaseong
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Cheongju

(Away)
20 Sept
Ansan Greeners
2 : 3
Cheongju
12 Sept
Chungnam Asan
0 : 1
Cheongju
04 Sept
Cheongju
0 : 2
Seoul E-Land
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
23 Aug
Cheongju
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)