Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Brenno
51' Event
In-Seok C.
57' Event
Kim Beom-hwan

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Hwaseong advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hwaseong
39%
Draws
30%
Yangpyeong
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hwaseong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Hwaseong have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hwaseong, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hwaseong have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 20%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hwaseong Yangpyeong
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Korean Cup
Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong
4:3
Aug 25, 2024 K3 League
Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Hwaseong
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 K3 League
Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong
3:1
May 21, 2023 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Hwaseong
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Lim Byeong-hun
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Beom-hwan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Yangpyeong Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenno
1 Goals
Assists Leader In-Seok C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hwaseong 32 / 100
Yangpyeong 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hwaseong Yangpyeong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Hwaseong's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Yangpyeong has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Hwaseong remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hwaseong VS Yangpyeong
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hwaseong

(Home)
15 Jul
Hwaseong
4 : 3
Yangpyeong
11 Jul
Hwaseong
1 : 2
Paju Frontier
06 Jun
Hwaseong
1 : 2
Suwon Bluewings
31 May
Hwaseong
2 : 0
Gyeongnam
23 May
Cheongju
2 : 3
Hwaseong
Page 1 of 6

Yangpyeong

(Away)
15 Jul
Hwaseong
4 : 3
Yangpyeong
12 Jul
Yangpyeong
5 : 2
Jeonbuk 2
04 Jul
Ulsan FC
1 : 5
Yangpyeong
27 Jun
Chuncheon
3 : 3
Yangpyeong
20 Jun
Yangpyeong
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chungnam Asan-
Daegu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jincheon-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Chuncheon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul E-Land-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheonan City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yangsan United1
Anseong Citizen2
TBD-
Mokpo-
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong-
TBD-
TBD-
Gijang United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings-
Ansan Greeners-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jinju Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Sejong SA-
Seosan Pioneer-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheongju-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hwaseong-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeonsu Songdo0
Ulsan FC4
TBD-
Yangpyeong-
Pyeongtaek Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeoju Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyeongnam-
Yongin FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haman-
TBD-
TBD-
Dangjin Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Namyangju-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul Jungnang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimpo FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheongju Showking3
Yangcheon TNT9
TBD-
Pyeongchang United-
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changwon-
TBD-
TBD-
Geumsan Insam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae-
Seongnam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon Korail-
TBD-
TBD-
Pocheon-
Busan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Incheon Seogot2
Areum1
TBD-
Geoje-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paju Frontier-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jecheon Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gangneung-
1/64-finals
Jeonnam-
TBD-
TBD-
Chungnam Asan-
Daegu-
TBD-
Jincheon1
Siheung Citizen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen2
Chuncheon1
TBD-
Seoul E-Land-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheonan City-
TBD-
Anseong Citizen2
Mokpo3
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong2
Gijang United1
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings-
Ansan Greeners-
TBD-
Jinju Citizen2
Sejong SA1
Seosan Pioneer0
Gyeongju KHNP3
TBD-
Cheongju-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hwaseong-
TBD-
Ulsan FC1
Yangpyeong5
Pyeongtaek Citizen1
Yeoju Citizen3
TBD-
Gyeongnam-
Yongin FC-
TBD-
Haman0
Dangjin Citizen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Namyangju3
Seoul Jungnang1
TBD-
Gimpo FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon FC-
TBD-
Yangcheon TNT1
Pyeongchang United2
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changwon3
Geumsan Insam0
TBD-
Gimhae-
Seongnam-
TBD-
Daejeon Korail0
Pocheon2
Busan-
TBD-
Incheon Seogot0
Geoje4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paju Frontier-
TBD-
Jecheon Citizen0
Gangneung2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam3
Chungnam Asan4
Daegu0
Siheung Citizen1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen4
Seoul E-Land2
TBD-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
Cheonan City2
Mokpo1
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong2
Suwon Bluewings1
Ansan Greeners0
Jinju Citizen2
Gyeongju KHNP0
Cheongju4
TBD-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
TBD-
Hwaseong4
Yangpyeong3
Yeoju Citizen1
Gyeongnam0
Yongin FC0
Dangjin Citizen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Namyangju1
Gimpo FC2
TBD-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
Suwon FC3
Pyeongchang United2
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changwon1
Gimhae5
Seongnam2
Pocheon1
Busan4
Geoje0
TBD-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
Paju Frontier3
Gangneung2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan-
Siheung Citizen-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Ulsan Citizen-
Ulsan Hyundai-
Gwangju FC-
Cheonan City-
Pohang-
TBD-
Busan Kyotong-
Jinju Citizen-
Cheongju-
Anyang-
Jeju SK-
Hwaseong-
Yeoju Citizen-
Dangjin Citizen-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
Gimpo FC-
Incheon-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
Suwon FC-
Gangwon-
TBD-
Gimhae-
Seongnam-
Busan-
Seoul-
Bucheon FC 1995-
Paju Frontier-
1/8-finals
TBD-
Daejeon-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
TBD-
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-