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Hythe vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Embery J.
44' Event
Hazelhurst J.
73' Event
Sampson J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Chorley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hythe
15%
Draws
49%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chorley haven't matched Hythe's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Hythe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chorley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hythe Clean Sheet 20%
Chorley Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hythe Chorley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 FA Trophy
Hythe vs Chorley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hythe Compare

Top Goalscorer Embery J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Chorley Compare

Top Goalscorer Hazelhurst J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sampson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hythe 36 / 100
Chorley 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hythe Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chorley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chorley conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Hythe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hythe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chorley
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hythe

(Home)
07 Sept
Hythe
1 : 2
Three Bridges
13 Jan
Hythe
1 : 2
Chorley
12 Dec
Hythe
3 : 2
Whitehawk
18 Nov
Hythe
1 : 0
Tonbridge
31 Oct
Hythe
3 : 1
Ramsgate
Page 1 of 6

Chorley

(Away)
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hereford -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Redbridge 2
Bognor Regis 3
Gosport Borough 0
South Park 2
Leighton Town 1
Frome Town 1
Cribbs 0
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers 4
Chesham 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Poole Town 2
Bracknell Town 3
Larkhall 1
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 2
Merthyr Town 1
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 0
Leiston 1
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 5
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 1
Stamford 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham 0
Cray Valley 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
North Ferriby FC 0
Matlock 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 4
Halesowen 1
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Guiseley 1
Alvechurch 0
Coalville Town 1
TBD -
Boston United -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Basingstoke 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Aveley -
TBD -
St Ives Town 3
Marine 1
Westfield 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
Truro -
Banbury -
TBD -
Nuneaton 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Stafford 5
Quorn 3
TBD -
Brackley -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Farsley -
TBD -
United of Manchester 2
Radcliffe 3
Redditch 3
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Rushall -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 1
Avro 0
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 5
Bury Town 0
TBD -
Tamworth -
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Worksop 0
Mickleover 5
Hendon 2
Walton & Hersham 1
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Hythe 3
Ramsgate 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Kingstonian 0
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Lewes 2
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Stratford 0
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
1/64-finals
Hereford 4
Redbridge 1
Bognor Regis 1
South Park 4
Frome Town 3
Worthing FC 2
Torquay 2
Yeovil 1
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare 4
Cray Wanderers 1
TBD -
Woking -
Bracknell Town 0
Horsham FC 3
AFC Totton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Leiston 1
Peterborough Sports 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Stourbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 1
City Of Liverpool 3
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
Cray Valley 1
Hampton & Richmond 5
Curzon Ashton 2
Matlock 0
Alfreton 2
Macclesfield 4
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Stortford 3
St. Albans 1
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Walsall Wood 2
Coalville Town 2
Boston United 1
Bromley -
TBD -
Slough Town 2
Farnborough 1
Chippenham Town 2
Basingstoke 1
Gloucester City 3
Braintree 0
Aveley 2
St Ives Town 1
Hungerford 2
Truro 0
Banbury 2
Nuneaton 4
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling 3
Taunton Town 2
Stafford 0
Brackley 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Southport 4
South Shields 0
Farsley 2
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 2
Rushall 1
Barnet -
TBD -
Dartford 0
Maidstone 1
Oxford City -
TBD -
Harborough 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Billericay 3
Tamworth 1
Oldham -
TBD -
Spennymoor 1
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 4
Weymouth 5
Hythe 1
Tonbridge 0
Whitehawk 3
Lewes 1
Chorley 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Warrington Town 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Scunthorpe 2
Darlington FC 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Chester 0
TBD -
York City -
1/32-finals
Hereford 1
South Park 0
Frome Town 1
Torquay 4
Rochdale 1
Gateshead 5
Weston-super-Mare 3
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 0
Dagenham & Red. 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Kidderminster 4
Stourbridge 1
Halifax 0
Altrincham 1
City Of Liverpool 1
Hartlepool 5
Southend 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Curzon Ashton 0
Macclesfield 2
Dorking Wanderers 3
Maidenhead 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Stortford 2
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 3
Bath City 1
Boreham Wood 0
Walsall Wood 0
Coalville Town 2
Bromley 1
Slough Town 0
Chippenham Town 5
Gloucester City 3
Aveley 2
Hungerford 1
Nuneaton 2
AFC Fylde 3
Welling 2
Brackley 1
Chesterfield 6
Southport 1
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 0
Barnet 4
Maidstone 0
Oxford City 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone 4
Billericay 1
Oldham 4
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Weymouth 0
Hythe 3
Whitehawk 2
Chorley 2
Blyth Spartans 0
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 2
Nantwich 3
York City 2
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
Torquay 0
Gateshead 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Horsham FC 0
Peterborough Sports 3
Kidderminster 1
Altrincham 0
Hartlepool 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Macclesfield 5
Dorking Wanderers 0
Stortford 6
Aldershot 1
Bath City 0
Coalville Town 1
Bromley 2
Chippenham Town 1
Aveley 1
AFC Fylde 0
Welling 2
Chesterfield 0
Radcliffe 1
Barnet 2
Chelmsford 0
Wealdstone 1
Oldham 1
Hendon 2
Hythe 1
Chorley 2
Solihull Moors 5
Nantwich 1
1/8-finals
Hereford 0
Gateshead 1
Peterborough Sports 1
Kidderminster 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Macclesfield 2
Stortford 0
Coalville Town 3
Bromley 2
Aveley 0
Welling 0
Barnet 3
Wealdstone 4
Hendon 0
Chorley 1
Solihull Moors 3
Quarter-finals
Gateshead 3
Peterborough Sports 2
Macclesfield 3
Coalville Town 0
Bromley 2
Barnet 0
Wealdstone 1
Solihull Moors 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead 2
Macclesfield 1
Bromley 1
Solihull Moors 2
Final
Gateshead 3
Solihull Moors 2